Portuguesa FC 1-0 Yaracuyanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.16/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/1.06
-12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.9 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
1-0
AWAY Yaracuyanos
1.43 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 7
293 Passes 123
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
19 Box Touches 3
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Yaracuyanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC edged past Yaracuyanos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portuguesa FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 60% of the ball to Yaracuyanos's 40%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 1.43 to 0.88.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Yaracuyanos?

Portuguesa FC 1-0 Yaracuyanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Yaracuyanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 41%, draw 29%, Yaracuyanos 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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