Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.48
Over 2.5
25%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.95
No
70%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
49%
2.14
2-3 Goals
32%
1.76
4-5 Goals
11%
5.37
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.14 — our 49% vs market 38.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.0pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.0pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.1pp
75%
Under 2.5
64%
+11.2pp
25%
Over 2.5
36%
-11.2pp
30%
BTTS Yes
30%
+0.4pp
70%
BTTS No
70%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.43/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.52
-11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
292 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
3 Corners 4
12.09.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
30.01.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
29.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
08.03.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
28.08.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan nicked a narrow win over Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.20 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 56%, draw 33%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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