Al Shahaniya 1-0 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
55%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.01
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
8%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.1
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
10%
9.55
X/2
18%
4.37
X/X
9%
5.91
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.17
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.1 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.2pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.3pp
55%
Away Win
55%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 59%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.06/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-28% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shahaniya
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Shamal
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.68 xG 1.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
399 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Al Shamal Al Shamal 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
23.09.2025 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
28.03.2025 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
26.10.2024 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
11.04.2015 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shahaniya
1-0
AWAY Al Shamal
36% Ball Possession 64%
2 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shahaniya vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shahaniya edged past Al Shamal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Shamal at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Shahaniya had 36% of the ball to Al Shamal's 64%, shots finished 2-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Shamal led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Al Shahaniya and 1.60 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Shahaniya vs Al Shamal?

Al Shahaniya 1-0 Al Shamal in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shahaniya vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Shahaniya 26%, draw 20%, Al Shamal 55%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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