Ayr United 4-3 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.24
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
13%
6.25
X/2
12%
5.07
X/X
15%
4.87
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.16
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.30/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.96
-28% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
216 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 83%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
14.0 Crosses 17.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Partick Thistle
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
281 Passes 300
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
15.09.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-4 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
26.05.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-5 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
19.05.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
15.04.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
18.02.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayr United
4-3
AWAY Partick Thistle
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Corners 11
FAQ Ayr United vs Partick Thistle
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ayr United edged past Partick Thistle 4-3 in the Scotland - Championship on 27 Feb 2024. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Ayr United had 48% of the ball to Partick Thistle's 52%, shots finished 7-12.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ayr United and 2.67 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?

Ayr United 4-3 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 31%, draw 31%, Partick Thistle 38%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Partick Thistle), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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