Ross County 1-1 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Feb 2024

Ross County
1-1 HT 1-0
St. Mirren
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Ross County vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 33% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.27
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
10%
6.68
X/2
18%
4.54
X/X
12%
3.97
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.06
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.96
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
238 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
20.4 Crosses 30.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Ross County vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
3W-0D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
262 Passes 216
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
28.11.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
18.02.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
05.11.2022 Ross County Ross County 3-2 HT 1-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
13.08.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
05.03.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP

Ross County 1-1 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
1-1
AWAY St. Mirren
1.02 xG 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
179 Passes 327
55% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ross County vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County and St. Mirren shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was St. Mirren at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Ross County had 40% of the ball to St. Mirren's 60%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ross County and 1.00 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Ross County vs St. Mirren?

Ross County 1-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ross County 31%, draw 27%, St. Mirren 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Mirren), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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