Eilenburg 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 59%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.12/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.67
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +58%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-1 HT 3-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-3 HT 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eilenburg
1-1
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg and Carl Zeiss Jena shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Carl Zeiss Jena carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eilenburg had 44% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena's 56%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eilenburg and 3.00 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Eilenburg 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 23%, draw 21%, Carl Zeiss Jena 56%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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