Belçika (K) 5-1 Macaristan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.6pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belçika (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Macaristan (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
453 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belçika (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Macaristan (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.24 xG 0.79
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
479 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.02.2024 Macaristan (K) Macaristan (K) 1-5 HT 1-2 Belçika (K) Belçika (K) AVKUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belçika (K)
5-1
AWAY Macaristan (K)
2.75 xG 0.63
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
428 Passes 245
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belçika (K) vs Macaristan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika (K) swept aside Macaristan (K) 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Belçika (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Belçika (K) had 62% of the ball to Macaristan (K)'s 38%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.75 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Belçika (K) vs Macaristan (K)?

Belçika (K) 5-1 Macaristan (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belçika (K) vs Macaristan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Belçika (K) 60%, draw 22%, Macaristan (K) 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belçika (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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