Dunbar Rovers 3-3 UNSW FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales 2, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
32%
4-5
36%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
14%
1/X
11%
X/1
4%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunbar Rovers The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY UNSW FC The Market 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dunbar Rovers vs UNSW FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunbar Rovers and UNSW FC shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dunbar Rovers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Dunbar Rovers vs UNSW FC?

Dunbar Rovers 3-3 UNSW FC in the Australia - Yeni South Wales 2 on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunbar Rovers vs UNSW FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunbar Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dunbar Rovers 43%, draw 29%, UNSW FC 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dunbar Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunbar Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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