Sitra 0-1 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 66%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.05/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.92
+14% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Riffa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAHK
03.04.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
25.11.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
08.11.2020 Sitra Sitra 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
0-1
AWAY Al Riffa
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa squeezed past Sitra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sitra had 37% of the ball to Al Riffa's 63%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sitra and 1.25 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Al Riffa?

Sitra 0-1 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sitra 22%, draw 24%, Al Riffa 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5
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