Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
2-1
AWAY Spartak Varna
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv edged past Spartak Varna 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 65% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 35%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?

Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - Cup on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 60%, draw 20%, Spartak Varna 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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