FC Lahti 3-0 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
28%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
71%
-25.4pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.6pp
28%
Away Win
11%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -61%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
482 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-1D-4L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
204 Passes 443
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 41
8 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
07.06.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
08.02.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 5-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
17.05.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-2 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
12.05.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
23.08.2021 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
3-0
AWAY HJK Helsinki
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti swept aside HJK Helsinki 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Lahti had 42% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 58%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Lahti and 2.00 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki?

FC Lahti 3-0 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - League Cup on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 46%, draw 26%, HJK Helsinki 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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