Villefranche 0-4 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 27 Feb 2024

Villefranche
0-4 HT 0-3
Le Mans FC
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Villefranche vs Le Mans FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.69
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
14%
5.7
X/X
9%
4.1
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
16%
4.26
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Villefranche v Le Mans FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.45/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.21
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Villefranche vs Le Mans FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
19.05.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
13.01.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
15.04.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
19.11.2021 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
05.03.2021 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC ran out comfortable winners over Villefranche 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Villefranche at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Villefranche and 0.50 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Le Mans FC?

Villefranche 0-4 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 42%, draw 22%, Le Mans FC 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Villefranche), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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