Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 AmaZulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 27 Feb 2024

Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0 HT 0-0
AmaZulu
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2023/2024

Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
12%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 28% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mamelodi Sundowns v AmaZulu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.72/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.46
+26% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 72%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
16.7 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4W-1D-1L
AWAY AmaZulu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 1.03
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
428 Passes 211
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
18.09.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
20.12.2021 AmaZulu AmaZulu 1-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
20.08.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
21.04.2021 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
22.11.2020 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-3 HT 3-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 AmaZulu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0
AWAY AmaZulu
1.46 xG 0.15
77% Ball Possession 23%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
547 Passes 110
89% Pass Accuracy 63%
25 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns swept aside AmaZulu 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 77% of the ball to AmaZulu's 23%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.46 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.67 for AmaZulu.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu?

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 AmaZulu in the South Afrika - Premier League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 60%, draw 22%, AmaZulu 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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