ABD (K) 0-2 Meksika (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
77%
-8.8pp
18%
Draw
14%
+4.0pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Meksika (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
462 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Meksika (K)
4.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
3.49 xG 0.12
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
449 Passes 175
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
34 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) HAZ
05.10.2018 ABD (K) ABD (K) 6-0 HT 1-0 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) Kuzey / Orta Amerika - Kadınlar DK CONCACAF Elemeleri
08.04.2018 ABD (K) ABD (K) 6-2 HT 4-2 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) HAZ
06.04.2018 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
0-2
AWAY Meksika (K)
0.32 xG 0.93
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
364 Passes 163
78% Pass Accuracy 61%
15 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Meksika (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika (K) beat ABD (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. ABD (K) carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD (K) had 62% of the ball to Meksika (K)'s 38%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.32 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 4.75 goals for ABD (K) and 0.75 for Meksika (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Meksika (K)?

ABD (K) 0-2 Meksika (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Meksika (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 68%, draw 18%, Meksika (K) 13%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (ABD (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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