Portekiz (K) 5-1 Güney Kore (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Feb 2024

Portekiz (K)
5-1 HT 4-0
Güney Kore (K)
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Portekiz (K) vs Güney Kore (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portekiz (K) v Güney Kore (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.38/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-78% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +59%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
– Crosses 15.0
– Yellow Cards –

Portekiz (K) 5-1 Güney Kore (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz (K)
5-1
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
1.84 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
262 Passes 199
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portekiz (K) vs Güney Kore (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz (K) ran out comfortable winners over Güney Kore (K) 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portekiz (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portekiz (K) had 54% of the ball to Güney Kore (K)'s 46%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.84 to 1.01.

What was the final score of Portekiz (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Portekiz (K) 5-1 Güney Kore (K) in the Friendlies on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portekiz (K) 42%, draw 34%, Güney Kore (K) 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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