Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals
Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cambuur 1-2 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen squeezed past Cambuur 2-1 away from home. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) came home.
Under the surface, NEC Nijmegen saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 12-28, expected goals 0.97 to 2.91 — on chances created, NEC Nijmegen won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Cambuur against 1.17 for NEC Nijmegen.
Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen Result & Final Score
Cambuur 1 - 2 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 26%, draw 23%, NEC Nijmegen 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.