Naft Gachsaran 0-1 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
34%
2.58
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.6
No
66%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
51%
1.71
2-3 Goals
27%
1.97
4-5 Goals
17%
9.05
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.1pp
34%
Draw
36%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.5pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.3pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
34%
-0.6pp
66%
BTTS No
66%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 26%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.63/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.00
+45% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.09.2023 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 1-0 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi squeezed past Naft Gachsaran 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Naft Gachsaran at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Fajr Sepasi?

Naft Gachsaran 0-1 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Azadegan League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 45%, draw 34%, Fajr Sepasi 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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