Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 27 Feb 2024

Esteghlal Khuzestan
1-0 HT 1-0
Sepahan
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.58
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esteghlal Khuzestan v Sepahan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
0.90/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.19
-19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sepahan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
3 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
The Meetings
23.11.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-3 HT 0-2 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
23.08.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.01.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
12.08.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-2 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
04.05.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
14.12.2021 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan edged past Sepahan 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Esteghlal Khuzestan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.50 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 37%, draw 27%, Sepahan 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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