Newington Youth 1-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.27
2-3 Goals
40%
2.1
4-5 Goals
24%
2.54
6+ Goals
14%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
3.07/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/2.16
+60% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Ards FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.08.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
10.12.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
08.11.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newington Youth
1-0
AWAY Ards FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth nicked a narrow win over Ards FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newington Youth had 49% of the ball to Ards FC's 51%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Newington Youth had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Newington Youth and 1.25 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Ards FC?

Newington Youth 1-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 50%, draw 25%, Ards FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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