Diosgyor 4-2 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 27 Feb 2024

Diosgyor
4-2 HT 3-0
Zalaegerszegi TE
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Hungary - Cup – 2023/2024

Diosgyor vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 25% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diosgyor v Zalaegerszegi TE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 34%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-100% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Diosgyor vs Zalaegerszegi TE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.85 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
480 Passes 222
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-3 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
18.08.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-3 HT 0-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
03.04.2021 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
19.12.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-3 HT 0-2 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
26.09.2020 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 2-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
10.06.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC

Diosgyor 4-2 Zalaegerszegi TE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
4-2
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor got the better of Zalaegerszegi TE 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Diosgyor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 55% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 45%, shots finished 9-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Diosgyor and 2.17 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Diosgyor 4-2 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - Cup on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 39%, draw 25%, Zalaegerszegi TE 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diosgyor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✓ Over 2.5
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