Libertad 1-1 Tacuary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.15
Over 2.5
40%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-15.1pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.2pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
43%
+17.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
57%
-17.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuary EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
2.13/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.76
+8% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tacuary
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.11.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-2 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
16.09.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-4 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
09.05.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 3-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
26.02.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
13.11.2022 Tacuary Tacuary 1-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
14.09.2022 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 2-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-1
AWAY Tacuary
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Tacuary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad and Tacuary shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Libertad had 66% of the ball to Tacuary's 34%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Libertad and 1.00 for Tacuary.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Tacuary?

Libertad 1-1 Tacuary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Tacuary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Libertad 54%, draw 26%, Tacuary 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Libertad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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