AVS 2-0 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
0.99/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.59
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.7 Crosses 18.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Academico Viseu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
215 Passes 307
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.10.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-2 HT 0-0 AVS AVS POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
2-0
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.47 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
319 Passes 210
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AVS vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS saw off Academico Viseu 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AVS as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, AVS had 57% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 43%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.47 to 0.48.

What was the final score of AVS vs Academico Viseu?

AVS 2-0 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated a AVS win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AVS 43%, draw 24%, Academico Viseu 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AVS), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AVS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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