Al Arabi 2-1 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.65
6+ Goals
7%
6.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.62 — our 28% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.4pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.5pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 12%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.44/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/3.11
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -27%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
455 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Nasar
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
23 Total Shots 12
13 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2025 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
07.05.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
13.03.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
17.02.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 6-3 HT 3-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
02.11.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
13.12.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi squeezed past Al Nasar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Al Arabi and 1.50 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Al Arabi 2-1 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 66%, draw 19%, Al Nasar 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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