ABD (K) 1-2 Japonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — SheBelieves Cup, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.3pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Japonya (K)
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
509 Passes 378
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) OLY
06.04.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
19.02.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
28.02.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
27.07.2018 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
04.08.2017 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
1-2
AWAY Japonya (K)
1.09 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
420 Passes 440
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya (K) nicked a narrow win over ABD (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was ABD (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD (K) had 50% of the ball to Japonya (K)'s 50%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.09 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for ABD (K) and 0.83 for Japonya (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)?

ABD (K) 1-2 Japonya (K) in the SheBelieves Cup on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 43%, draw 27%, Japonya (K) 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SHEBEL More SheBelieves Cup
27 Feb 2025
03:30 Avustralya (K) vs Kolombiya (K) Analysis →