Örgryte 0-3 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 27 Feb 2026

Örgryte
0-3 HT 0-1
Mjallby
📅27/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2025/2026

Örgryte vs Mjallby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.94
Away OUR CALL
62%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
8.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 27% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Mjallby win — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-3.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.9pp
62%
Away Win
57%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örgryte v Mjallby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.54
-62% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Örgryte vs Mjallby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mjallby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
The Meetings
17.08.2019 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
04.05.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
11.11.2017 Örgryte Örgryte 2-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
08.11.2017 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
08.03.2014 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
27.08.2008 Örgryte Örgryte 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2

Örgryte 0-3 Mjallby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
0-3
AWAY Mjallby
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby swept aside Örgryte 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Örgryte had 42% of the ball to Mjallby's 58%, shots finished 6-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Örgryte and 1.33 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Mjallby?

Örgryte 0-3 Mjallby in the Sweden - Cup on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 18%, draw 20%, Mjallby 62%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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