Aarau 5-3 Rapperswil-Jona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.18
Over
59%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.67
No
41%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.03
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
27%
2.83
6+
12%
8.41
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.03 — our 22% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Aarau The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona The Market 22%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.93 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.56
1.31 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.77
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
15.9 Crosses 18.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.96 xG 0.51
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
492 Passes 252
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
44 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Aarau Aarau 2-1 HT 1-1 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV2
29.08.2025 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 0-1 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
REVIEW Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aarau had too much for Rapperswil-Jona 5-3. From 1-2 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. A 8-goal game — the defences never settled.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aarau and 0.50 for Rapperswil-Jona.

Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona Result & Final Score

Aarau 5-3 Rapperswil-Jona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aarau 59%, draw 22%, Rapperswil-Jona 19%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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