Keflavik 3-1 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.11
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
40%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
85%
-9.5pp
13%
Draw
9%
+3.6pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.11/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.99
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -45%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
510 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik saw off AEgir 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs AEgir?

Keflavik 3-1 AEgir in the Iceland - League Cup on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 75%, draw 13%, AEgir 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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