Trofense 1-1 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Feb 2026

Trofense
1-1 HT 1-0
Mafra
📅27/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Trofense vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trofense v Mafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 36%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.79/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.37
+47% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Trofense vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Mafra
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.69 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
285 Passes 323
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.01.2023 Mafra Mafra 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR2
20.02.2022 Trofense Trofense 1-3 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
18.09.2021 Mafra Mafra 0-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR2

Trofense 1-1 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-1
AWAY Mafra
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense and Mafra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Trofense had 44% of the ball to Mafra's 56%, shots finished 3-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mafra led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Trofense and 1.33 for Mafra.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Mafra?

Trofense 1-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Trofense 39%, draw 29%, Mafra 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trofense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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