Varnsdorf 1-1 Lisen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 27 Mar 2024

Varnsdorf
1-1 HT 0-1
Lisen
📅27/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Czech Republic - FNL – 2025/2026

Varnsdorf vs Lisen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.8pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varnsdorf v Lisen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisen EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +7%
2.01/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.17
+38% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Varnsdorf vs Lisen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lisen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Lisen Lisen 2-1 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
13.11.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
06.08.2022 Lisen Lisen 3-0 HT 3-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
26.04.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
14.11.2021 Lisen Lisen 1-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
28.03.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-1 HT 0-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2

Varnsdorf 1-1 Lisen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
1-1
AWAY Lisen
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Lisen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf and Lisen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 56% of the ball to Lisen's 44%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lisen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Varnsdorf and 1.33 for Lisen.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Lisen?

Varnsdorf 1-1 Lisen in the Czech Republic - FNL on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Lisen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lisen win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 32%, draw 34%, Lisen 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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