Breidablik 4-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 27 Mar 2024

📅27/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
3.95/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/3.57
+63% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / -34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
6W-0D-0L
AWAY İA Akranes
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.08.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
27.06.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-3 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
07.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-5 HT 0-3 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
26.02.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
16.08.2021 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
24.05.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-3 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
4-1
AWAY İA Akranes
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik ran out comfortable winners over İA Akranes 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Breidablik had 59% of the ball to İA Akranes's 41%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Breidablik and 1.33 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs İA Akranes?

Breidablik 4-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - League Cup on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 56%, draw 22%, İA Akranes 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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