St. Pauli II 0-0 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Mar 2024

📅27/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.34/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.29
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
27.08.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-5 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-3 HT 0-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
31.07.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-3 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
20.11.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
05.09.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-1 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli II
0-0
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and Phönix Lübeck played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, St. Pauli II had 55% of the ball to Phönix Lübeck's 45%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Pauli II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.40 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck?

St. Pauli II 0-0 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 33%, draw 25%, Phönix Lübeck 42%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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