Quilmes 1-0 Colegiales — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.6
No
62%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.2pp
62%
BTTS No
66%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Colegiales EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.52/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.51
+19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +131%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Colegiales
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes squeezed past Colegiales 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Quilmes as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Colegiales?

Quilmes 1-0 Colegiales in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Colegiales?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 55%, draw 29%, Colegiales 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →