Atletico Aldosivi 2-1 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Mar 2025

Atletico Aldosivi
2-1 HT 1-0
Union Santa Fe
📅27/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Atletico Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.95
6+ Goals
10%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.93
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
11%
6.02
X/2
9%
5.14
X/X
14%
3.34
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.86
2/X
9%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.2pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Aldosivi v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -20%
1.00/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
-26% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.2 Crosses 20.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Atletico Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.93 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 221
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
13 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.08.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
02.10.2021 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
04.01.2021 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
28.09.2019 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
11.08.2018 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
10.09.2016 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ

Atletico Aldosivi 2-1 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
2-1
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.49 xG 1.78
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 25
7 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 8
211 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 36
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi nicked a narrow win over Union Santa Fe 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Atletico Aldosivi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Aldosivi had 37% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 63%, shots finished 13-25, expected goals 1.49 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Aldosivi and 1.33 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?

Atletico Aldosivi 2-1 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 36%, draw 30%, Union Santa Fe 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →