Yaracuyanos 3-3 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.00/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.00
-46% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
177 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.0 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yaracuyanos
3-3
AWAY Caracas FC
2.67 xG 1.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
203 Passes 181
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yaracuyanos vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yaracuyanos and Caracas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Caracas FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yaracuyanos had 56% of the ball to Caracas FC's 44%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.67 to 1.82.

What was the final score of Yaracuyanos vs Caracas FC?

Yaracuyanos 3-3 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yaracuyanos vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yaracuyanos 26%, draw 33%, Caracas FC 41%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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