27/03/2026
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Sao Tome ve Principe vs Etiyopya Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
31%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
25%
Draw
27%
52%
Away Win
55%
50%
BTTS Yes
37%
50%
BTTS No
63%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Tome ve Principe v Etiyopya — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sao Tome ve Principe
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Etiyopya
EU Bookmakers 58%
+9% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+23%
/
+18%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
6
226 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sao Tome ve Principe vs Etiyopya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Etiyopya cruised past Sao Tome ve Principe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Etiyopya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Sao Tome ve Principe vs Etiyopya?
Sao Tome ve Principe 0-3 Etiyopya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Tome ve Principe vs Etiyopya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Etiyopya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sao Tome ve Principe 23%, draw 25%, Etiyopya 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etiyopya) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Etiyopya)
✗ Under 2.5
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AFUK
More Afrika Uluslar Cup
27 Mar 2026