Bentleigh Greens 2-1 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Mar 2026

Bentleigh Greens
2-1 HT 1-0
Dandenong Thunder
📅27/03/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2026

Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
16%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+7.9pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bentleigh Greens v Dandenong Thunder — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bentleigh Greens EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.45/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.40
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.1 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bentleigh Greens
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 210
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.06.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-1 HT 1-1 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
17.03.2023 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 0-3 HT 0-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
16.07.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-2 HT 2-0 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
15.04.2022 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 2-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
12.03.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 1-2 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
19.07.2014 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-1 HT 0-0 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
POST-MATCH Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bentleigh Greens squeezed past Dandenong Thunder 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bentleigh Greens as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bentleigh Greens had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bentleigh Greens and 1.17 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?

Bentleigh Greens 2-1 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bentleigh Greens win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bentleigh Greens 45%, draw 25%, Dandenong Thunder 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bentleigh Greens), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bentleigh Greens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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