İsveç U21 2-2 Karadağ U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ U21 EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.32/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.86
+10% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç U21
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Karadağ U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2025 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 2-0 HT 0-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
08.10.2021 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 3-1 HT 1-0 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21
03.09.2021 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 1-3 HT 0-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
08.06.2010 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21
04.09.2009 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 0-2 HT 0-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç U21
2-2
AWAY Karadağ U21
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
POST-MATCH İsveç U21 vs Karadağ U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsveç U21 and Karadağ U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İsveç U21 at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, İsveç U21 had 68% of the ball to Karadağ U21's 32%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İsveç U21 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İsveç U21 and 0.80 for Karadağ U21.

What was the final score of İsveç U21 vs Karadağ U21?

İsveç U21 2-2 Karadağ U21 in the European U21 on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split İsveç U21 64%, draw 20%, Karadağ U21 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İsveç U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsveç U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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