Polonya U21 4-1 Ermenistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.11
Draw
14%
8.11
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.27
No
46%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
85%
-7.0pp
14%
Draw
9%
+5.3pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+1.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
40%
+14.0pp
46%
BTTS No
60%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya U21 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
3.01/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/3.42
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
504 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.5
Crosses 4.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ermenistan U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.09.2025 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 0-4 HT 0-2 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya U21
4-1
AWAY Ermenistan U21
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Polonya U21 vs Ermenistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya U21 cruised past Ermenistan U21 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polonya U21 as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Polonya U21 had 63% of the ball to Ermenistan U21's 37%, shots finished 18-4.

What was the final score of Polonya U21 vs Ermenistan U21?

Polonya U21 4-1 Ermenistan U21 in the European U21 on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya U21 vs Ermenistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Polonya U21 78%, draw 14%, Ermenistan U21 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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