Vyskov 2-1 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vyskov EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.14/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.58
+27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vyskov
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Varnsdorf
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-1 HT 0-0 Vyskov Vyskov ÇEK2
30.04.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-3 HT 1-1 Vyskov Vyskov ÇEK2
08.10.2022 Vyskov Vyskov 2-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
19.03.2022 Vyskov Vyskov 2-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
22.08.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-1 HT 1-1 Vyskov Vyskov ÇEK2
POST-MATCH Vyskov vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vyskov nicked a narrow win over Varnsdorf 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vyskov as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vyskov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Vyskov and 0.80 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Vyskov vs Varnsdorf?

Vyskov 2-1 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vyskov vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vyskov win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vyskov 48%, draw 27%, Varnsdorf 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vyskov), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vyskov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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