Barnet 0-4 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.96
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.38
No
49%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
6.95
2-3 Goals
40%
2.19
4-5 Goals
25%
2.47
6+ Goals
11%
4.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.95 — our 24% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.39
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.86
X/2
9%
8.09
X/X
9%
6.81
2/1
8%
19.15
2/2
13%
4.76
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+19.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-19.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.6pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.93/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.74
+20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Solihull Moors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-2 HT 1-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
24.10.2023 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
18.04.2023 Barnet Barnet 1-0 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
14.01.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet FAK
17.09.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-1 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
09.04.2022 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
0-4
AWAY Solihull Moors
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors swept aside Barnet 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Barnet at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Barnet had 65% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 35%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barnet and 1.00 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Solihull Moors?

Barnet 0-4 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Barnet 49%, draw 24%, Solihull Moors 27%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ BTTS Yes
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