Sion 0-2 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 27 Apr 2024

Sion
0-2 HT 0-1
Lugano
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Switzerland - Cup – 2023/2024

Sion vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
28%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.58
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.7
X/1
10%
6.04
X/2
5%
4.89
X/X
8%
4.0
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
3.4
2/X
10%
13.45
Value flag · 1/X at 13.7 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sion v Lugano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 43%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
0.15/2.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.85/0.81
-91% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +117%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sion vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lugano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.12 xG 1.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
256 Passes 403
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2023 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
05.03.2023 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.03.2023 Sion Sion 0-3 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSVK
22.01.2023 Sion Sion 2-3 HT 1-2 Lugano Lugano İSV
17.07.2022 Lugano Lugano 2-3 HT 0-1 Sion Sion İSV
10.04.2022 Lugano Lugano 1-3 HT 0-2 Sion Sion İSV

Sion 0-2 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
0-2
AWAY Lugano
1.16 xG 1.42
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
243 Passes 546
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sion vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano beat Sion 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Lugano made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sion had 35% of the ball to Lugano's 65%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.16 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sion and 2.00 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Sion vs Lugano?

Sion 0-2 Lugano in the Switzerland - Cup on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sion 36%, draw 28%, Lugano 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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