Milan U19 1-2 Monza U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.17/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.00
-13% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Monza U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
26.08.2023 Monza U19 Monza U19 1-3 HT 1-1 Milan U19 Milan U19 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U19
1-2
AWAY Monza U19
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan U19 vs Monza U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza U19 squeezed past Milan U19 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Milan U19 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milan U19 had 66% of the ball to Monza U19's 34%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Milan U19 vs Monza U19?

Milan U19 1-2 Monza U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U19 vs Monza U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Milan U19 54%, draw 21%, Monza U19 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Milan U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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