Napoli (K) 1-1 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.80/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.49
+57% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
11.4 Crosses 25.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Como (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.73 xG 0.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
218 Passes 312
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
11.10.2023 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 6-3 Como (K) Como (K) İTKK
17.09.2023 Como (K) Como (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
1-1
AWAY Como (K)
0.49 xG 0.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
285 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 22
4 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) and Como (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 48% of the ball to Como (K)'s 52%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.49 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Napoli (K) and 2.00 for Como (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Como (K)?

Napoli (K) 1-1 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 39%, draw 24%, Como (K) 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Napoli (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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