Villarreal (K) 1-2 Granada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.52/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.07
+8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
8.0 Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal (K)
1-2
AWAY Granada (K)
1.04 xG 1.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
241 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villarreal (K) vs Granada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada (K) nicked a narrow win over Villarreal (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Granada (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Villarreal (K) had 43% of the ball to Granada (K)'s 57%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.04 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Villarreal (K) vs Granada (K)?

Villarreal (K) 1-2 Granada (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal (K) vs Granada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Villarreal (K) 33%, draw 33%, Granada (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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