Austin 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 27 Apr 2024

Austin
2-0 HT 2-0
Los Angeles Galaxy
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.33
2-3 Goals
34%
1.99
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.58
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
11%
6.16
X/2
17%
5.76
X/X
13%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
2/2
15%
3.28
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austin v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.33/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.54
+25% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
19.5 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 2.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
367 Passes 422
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.09.2023 Austin Austin 3-3 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
23.04.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
30.05.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
09.05.2022 Austin Austin 0-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
27.09.2021 Austin Austin 2-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
15.05.2021 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD

Austin 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
2-0
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.06 xG 0.52
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
326 Passes 505
86% Pass Accuracy 92%
13 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin saw off Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Austin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austin had 40% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 60%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.06 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Austin and 2.00 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Austin 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Austin 37%, draw 24%, Los Angeles Galaxy 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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