Esperança dAndorra 2-0 Carroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
48%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
40%
-13.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
48%
Away Win
34%
+14.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Carroi EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esperança dAndorra
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Carroi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2024 Carroi 0-4 HT 0-2 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
26.11.2023 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-2 HT 0-0 Carroi AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esperança dAndorra
2-0
AWAY Carroi
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Esperança dAndorra vs Carroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esperança dAndorra got the better of Carroi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Carroi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Esperança dAndorra had 46% of the ball to Carroi's 54%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Esperança dAndorra and 1.00 for Carroi.

What was the final score of Esperança dAndorra vs Carroi?

Esperança dAndorra 2-0 Carroi in the Andorra - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esperança dAndorra vs Carroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carroi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Esperança dAndorra 27%, draw 25%, Carroi 48%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carroi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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