SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.67
2-3 Goals
41%
2.14
4-5 Goals
24%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.39
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
10%
4.84
X/2
15%
8.08
X/X
12%
6.67
2/1
10%
19.45
2/2
14%
4.8
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.3pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.94/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.34
-58% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.0 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lommel United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
311 Passes 440
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 0-3 HT 0-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
27.10.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
09.11.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1-1
AWAY Lommel United
1.38 xG 0.58
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
289 Passes 539
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem and Lommel United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was SV Zulte Waregem at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 38% of the ball to Lommel United's 62%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.38 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 1.33 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs Lommel United?

SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 43%, draw 23%, Lommel United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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