GOSK Gabela 1-2 Zeljeznicar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 39%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -36%
0.40/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.62
-67% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GOSK Gabela
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Zeljeznicar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-0 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
15.09.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 2-3 HT 1-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GOSK Gabela
1-2
AWAY Zeljeznicar
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GOSK Gabela vs Zeljeznicar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeljeznicar squeezed past GOSK Gabela 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Zeljeznicar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GOSK Gabela had 47% of the ball to Zeljeznicar's 53%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, GOSK Gabela had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for GOSK Gabela and 1.00 for Zeljeznicar.

What was the final score of GOSK Gabela vs Zeljeznicar?

GOSK Gabela 1-2 Zeljeznicar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GOSK Gabela vs Zeljeznicar?

Before kick-off our model rated a GOSK Gabela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split GOSK Gabela 38%, draw 30%, Zeljeznicar 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GOSK Gabela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
27 Apr 2024
14:30 Sloga Doboj vs Zvijezda 09 Brgule Analysis →