Vasco da Gama 0-4 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.54
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.15
X/1
16%
3.68
X/2
9%
10.2
X/X
13%
4.31
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
10%
9.0
2/X
5%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.41/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.88
-10% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.1 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Criciuma
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
246 Passes 314
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2022 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
09.07.2022 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
19.11.2016 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
31.07.2016 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
13.10.2013 Criciuma Criciuma 3-2 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
28.07.2013 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 3-2 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
0-4
AWAY Criciuma
2.02 xG 1.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
456 Passes 336
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma cruised past Vasco da Gama 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vasco da Gama at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 58% of the ball to Criciuma's 42%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 2.02 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.33 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Criciuma?

Vasco da Gama 0-4 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 47%, draw 28%, Criciuma 25%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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