MC Alger 1-0 Paradou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.16
No
46%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
12%
18.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.98 — our 22% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.6pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradou EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.11/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.38
+36% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Paradou
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2023 Paradou Paradou 0-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
04.07.2023 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
29.11.2022 MC Alger MC Alger 2-2 HT 0-2 Paradou Paradou CZYR
28.03.2022 Paradou Paradou 1-1 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
11.01.2022 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
23.06.2021 MC Alger MC Alger 4-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Alger
1-0
AWAY Paradou
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs Paradou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger edged past Paradou 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, MC Alger had 63% of the ball to Paradou's 37%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MC Alger and 0.67 for Paradou.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs Paradou?

MC Alger 1-0 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs Paradou?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 54%, draw 27%, Paradou 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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